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Glassnode Analysts Warn XRP Rally Might Be Ending as Retail Interest Dwindles

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The crypto markets are once again feeling the heat, and this time, it’s not just the digital landscape getting scorched. With Former President Donald Trump announcing stricter tariffs, traders and investors alike have been met with shocking volatility. This decision has sent ripples across both crypto and equity markets, with most top assets, including XRP, marking significant declines.

Crypto Markets React to Tariff News

As Trump’s tariffs came into play, the expected downturn materialized, hitting crypto assets hard. Here’s how XRP has been affected during this tumultuous time:

  • Current Price: XRP is now trading at approximately US$2.05 (AU$3.26), down 13% for the week and 2.5% for the day.
  • Yearly Performance: Despite the recent correction, XRP saw a remarkable 250% increase year-over-year, largely attributed to the resolution of its SEC lawsuit and the influx of ETF filings.

To put this in perspective, just a year ago, XRP was priced at US$0.57 (AU$0.90). This significant leap in price showcases the asset’s volatile nature and how quickly market sentiment can shift based on external factors.

Analysts Caution Against Overconfidence

Recent findings from Glassnode, a reputable analytics firm, suggest that the momentum driving XRP’s impressive growth might be faltering. In their report titled ‘Rippling Away’, released on April 2, they indicate that caution should be exercised due to rising speculative risks within the market.

  • Momentum Decline: Investors are warned that there is currently little evidence of a reversal in the ongoing downturn. The report emphasizes the "fragile sentiment" across the market.

“So far, there is little evidence suggesting a structural bullish shift in momentum is underway.” – Glassnode

The Differences Between XRP and Bitcoin

XRP and Bitcoin (BTC) both experienced gains from the lows of 2022. However, they rose through different pathways. While Bitcoin’s rise has been characterized by more gradual, organic growth, XRP’s rapid ascent has been propelled primarily by retail-driven speculation.

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Key Differences:

Feature Bitcoin (BTC) XRP
Growth Trajectory Organic and steady growth Retail-driven speculation
Address Growth 10% increase in addresses 490% increase in addresses

One significant takeaway from the report highlights the concentration of interest among retail investors, which may raise volatility risks for newcomers in the market.

The Speculative Nature of XRP

As the liquidity of XRP has improved, so has the interest from new retail investors. The realized cap of XRP has doubled from US$30.1 billion (AU$47.98 billion) to US$64.2 billion (AU$102.34 billion) in just six months, mostly driven by speculative capital influx. This surge comes at a risky time, as Glassnode notes that since late February 2025, this capital influx has been tapering off, potentially signaling a cooling in speculative appetite.

"Top Heavy" Market Risks

The aggressive growth has led to a “top-heavy” cost structure, where new investors have heavily concentrated their wealth. This scenario is increasingly worrying, as those high entry costs could lead to significant volatility:

  • Investor Confidence: There have been signals indicating waning confidence in XRP due to the top-heavy cost basis, with many investors realizing fewer profits and larger losses than before.
  • Market Sentiment: The ongoing decline in this metric suggests a possible shift towards riskier conditions.

“For more speculative assets like XRP, we may have already seen the top.” – Glassnode

Conclusion: Caution in the Cryptocurrency Market

As the crypto landscape continues to evolve, navigating its complexities can be daunting. The sharp declines prompted by external factors, like Trump’s tariff announcements, combined with the rise of speculative investment in assets like XRP, presents a unique environment for both seasoned and new investors.

Those considering jumping into XRP should tread carefully, keeping an eye on market indicators and potential risks. Engaging in informed trading practices will be vital in this volatile climate.

What’s Next for XRP and Crypto?

As analysts suggest a cautious approach, it might be prudent to diversify investments and look at other established coins or innovations within the crypto sphere. Ensure that you do thorough research and keep an eye on evolving trends.

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As always, the crypto world moves quickly. Are you ready to adapt to the shifting tides? Stay abreast of the latest developments and refine your strategies to capitalize on new opportunities. 💡

Let’s continue the conversation! How do you feel about the current state of the crypto market? What are your thoughts on investing in XRP amidst the ongoing volatility? Share in the comments!



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Patrick Valencia

p.valencia@modelknowledge.net

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